Coronavirus: What is the UK’s lockdown strategy? – BBC Newsnight

published on July 25, 2020

day 24 of lockdown giving away today 25 will live done at least 45 days of total lockdown before this is over the government confirmed today it was inevitable and remarkable perhaps that it no longer seems remarkable Britain is

To remain in confinement behind our own front doors till the 7th of May based on this advice which we very carefully considered the government has decided that the current measures must remain in place for at least the next three weeks

Dominic Raab announced five tests which governments say must be met until any relaxation will be granted the government is looking for evidence that the NHS can cope across the UK a sustained fall in daily death rates

Evidence that the rate of infection is decreasing confidence that the medical system is able to meet demand and no risk of a second peak but there was encouraging news to the government scientists think that our average

Infection rate our value is now below 1 our value is really important put simply it's the number of people an infected person in turn comes to infect if our value falls below 1 it means that each person is inflicting less than one other

So the overall transmission of the disease in the population should go down if it's more than one it goes up other places like Germany Austria Norway and Denmark have focused heavily on our value it was when it dipped below 1 in

These places that government started to talk about relaxation of lockdowns not so here for a very simple reason we're not testing enough they can use proxy indicators to try and understand where we are currently and what the

Nation numbers numbers looking at some of their Sentinel sites to understand communities particular communities how is reading but I don't see how they can say it decisively until they have these antibodies in the community so that

First mistake of not getting a head of testing at the start returns once more to haunt us but the other reason perhaps that Britain isn't showing more leg on exit strategy compared to other governments isn't scientific its

Political the Prime Minister is in calm lessons and for as much as we might hear about cabinet government and collective responsibility seems unlikely that ministers will be willing to pull on those really big levers until he's back

In action these weeks are primarily about allowing time for the virus to recede further but it's also very useful time politically for the Prime Minister to get better the questions of when and how we'll continue to grow louder as the

Other human crisis gathers pace what's going on in the economy something of which Tory backbenchers are increasingly mindful well I think the real question is we need to ensure that bounce-back happens straight after coronavirus

Because if it's a if it's a blip for three months in the figures and that's one thing I think that's something that we obviously can look at it will be difficult it will add to the national debt but that's something that is

Manageable I think the entire the real issue here which why the lockdown is so important we get it right first time around and we don't end up with that second spike which is why it's so important that we just carry on and get

It exactly right now is that if we can get that then we can probably keep on with the broader agenda that the government's pursuing the economic catastrophe is real data from the US today showed another

52 million Americans have applied for unemployment benefit in the last week that's 22 million in a month more than all the jobs created since 2008 one in six of the American labor force an hour out of work in Britain we've seen 14

Million apply for universal credit but we're not at stratospheric levels yet for a very good reason the furlough scheme the whole goal of the government's program is to not just keep people in work but keep companies

Solvent as we get to the end of this and they are still solvent and the degree of the lifting of the measures allows companies to get some way towards normality then we can hope that all these people who are furloughed will

More or less keep their jobs but that is a huge question mark we know already we've seen the numbers a lot of companies that perhaps we're relying on the furnace scheme I'm not going to exist when when the

Lockdown finishes 45 days to save the NHS and save lives but at the cost of house arrest for the population and life support for the economy it'll be v-day before this might be

Lifted even a little but victory this time won't come with a parade or soldiers just people quietly tentatively almost certainly in fear trying to resume their lives

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